Collin Sexton has had a great start to the season and while mostly an efficient player, his shooting has been hot even for him. 67% from three through his first three games propelled his scoring and against the strong Indiana backcourt it will be hard to continue.
After an up and down rookie season, PJ Washington has assumed a bigger role with the developing Hornets, particularly with Cody Zeller injured. Playing more as a small-ball 5, Washington has been an integral part of the offence with his minutes and usage way up. His efficiency has suffered, but this line is too low for someone who will likely see 32+ minutes and 14+ shots.
After breaking out in the bubble, Tyler Herro has been pegged as a future star and cornerstone of the Heat future. The hype has been real, but probably a little too much just yet for Herro. Considering he cleared this line only 8 of 27 games in the bubble and has scored 11 & 13 in the first two games this year – this line is way too high against the Bucks.
Despite his Golden State Warriors getting blown out in their first two games, number two overall pick James Wiseman has been a huge bright spot. Flashing huge upside he has shown his ability to score in multiple ways – as the roll man, offensive rebounding, popping to three and running the floor. Coach Steve Kerr hasn’t placed significant minute restrictions on him and has played Wiseman in garbage time to get more reps, so we think this is about as low as we will see his line ever again.
After a tough couple of years in Boston where he struggled with injury and a defined role – Gordon Hayward is now back as the lead facilitator on the young Hornets team. His last year in Utah as the primary option Hayward averaged 21.9ppg and if his first game is anything to go by (28 points on 26% usage) we can expect more of the same. OKC is a young team that will struggle to defend at a high level and Hayward should clear this with ease.
The opening night of the new season pits the defending champion Lakers against a Clippers team that were humbled in the bubble playoffs. Professional scorer, Lou Williams, has lost his pick and roll partner in Montrezl Harrell and with the addition of Luke Kennard and Nic Batum there are likely less shots off the bench. We project Lou Williams to under this line for much of the season.