Chris Paul has stepped it up significantly in the absence of Blake Griffin, averaging 24.5ppg since the all star break and pretty much carrying the Clippers night in night out.
He has busted us a bunch of times however we like Paul on the under against the Rockets for a number of reasons, with the main being that it is the second night of a back to back. In the second game of back to backs this year Paul has averaged only 14.8ppg, a huge 5ppg lower than his average. In addition he will be guarded by one of the best point defenders in the league in Patrick Beverley, and he struggles on the road.
Adding that all together and we have CP3 going under against the Rockets.